Sentiment (ENG)

Sentiment

Sentiment is Anesthezia’s prediction-market module. It allows users to trade based on expectations instead of price. Each market represents a real outcome, and traders take a side by buying YES or NO contracts. When the event resolves, the winning side pays out at full value, and the losing side settles at zero.

Prices represent probability and move dynamically with news, market activity, and social sentiment.


Purpose of Sentiment

This module gives access to a different layer of the market - expectations and crowd psychology.

Users can:

  • speculate on crypto market outcomes

  • trade macro and economic events

  • take positions on sports results

  • react to political decisions or global news

  • bet on hype cycles and cultural trends

  • follow crowd emotion in real time

  • use it as a hedge against uncertainty

  • profit from shifting probability instead of price movement

Sentiment is a place where belief is the asset.


How it Works

Each market consists of two outcomes:

Outcome
Meaning

YES

the event will happen

NO

the event will not happen

The price of each side reflects market-assigned probability.

Examples:

  • YES = 0.72 means a 72 percent chance the outcome is expected to occur

  • NO = 0.28 means a 28 percent chance it does not

A trader buys shares of one side at the current price. If that side wins, it settles at 1 dollar per share. If it loses, it becomes zero.


Trading Flow

1. Selecting a Market

The Sentiment dashboard displays active opportunities. Each card shows:

  • market title

  • current probability for YES and NO

  • countdown timer

  • trading volume

  • recent price change and trend

2. Opening a Position

The trader chooses YES or NO and enters an amount. The system calculates how many contracts are purchased.

Example:

  • Bought YES at 0.60 with 100 dollars

  • Received 166.66 YES contracts

  • If YES wins, return = 166.66 dollars

  • If NO wins, return = 0

3. Closing Before Resolution

Positions can be sold before the event concludes. If probabilities shift in your favor, exiting early allows profit capture without waiting for the final outcome. Early exit can also reduce loss if sentiment turns the opposite way.


What Moves Sentiment Price

Sentiment reacts to information. Price is a reflection of belief, and belief changes fast.

Key drivers:

Factor
Example

News & announcements

new regulation, ETF approval talk

Twitter/Social buzz

KOL threads, viral narratives

Market movement

BTC surge ahead of an event

Fundamentals & metrics

updated economic or network data

Sports/Politics shifts

player injury, election debate impact

Culture & hype

memes, viral speculation, media spikes

Growing confidence pushes YES higher and NO lower. Panic or doubt does the opposite.


Market Tools Inside Sentiment

Feature
Purpose

Price history

track trends and probability swings

Volume metrics

detect strength and liquidity depth

Volatility readings

judge risk and momentum speed

Alerts

notifications when probabilities shift sharply

Chart view

analyze movements like a trading pair

Sentiment is not guesswork - it is measurable expectation.


Settlement

When the event concludes and the result is verified:

Outcome
Payout

Winning side

1 dollar per contract

Losing side

0

PnL is calculated automatically. Funds appear back on balance immediately.


Best Use Cases

Sentiment works exceptionally well for:

  • trading uncertainty instead of price action

  • hedging volatile market conditions

  • contrarian strategies against emotional crowd moves

  • positioning early before news confirms

  • harvesting panic and euphoria

  • studying how markets react to information

If charts show what happened, Sentiment shows what people believe will happen.


Summary

Sentiment turns market expectations into a tradable asset. Instead of predicting price, traders speculate on belief itself. This is a parallel market layer - emotional, informational, collective.

Where price shows the present, Sentiment reveals the future.

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